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Israel and Iran war or retaliation correction
  + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Clay Seigle, director of global oil service at Rapidan Energy Group, spoke Friday on CNBC's "Street Signs Asia." An earlier version misstated the name of the program.
Persons: Clay Seigle Organizations: Rapidan Energy
Israel and Iran: All-out war, or measured retaliation?
  + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( Natasha Turak | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
Atta Kenare | AFP | Getty Imageswatch nowBut a full-blown conventional war would be devastating to both sides and highly destabilizing for the Middle East. Are these tit-for-tat blows between Israel and Iran clear evidence of all-out war, or carefully calibrated retaliation strikes? "With Israel's apparent strikes on Iran today, retaliating for Iran's attack on Israel last Sunday, we now have a direct nation-on-nation hot war," he told CNBC's "Capital Connection" Friday. 'Ball is back in Iran's court'Not everyone agrees that the line into wider war has been crossed, however. Within hours of the Israeli strikes, risk assets were already on their way back down, with international oil benchmark Brent crude turning lower for the session after a brief spike.
Persons: Atta Kenare, Benjamin Netanyahu, Joe Biden, Netanyahu, Ebrahim Raisi, Clay Seigle, CNBC's, Ehud Olmert, CNBC's Dan Murphy, Olmert, Ian Bremmer, Michael Singh, Israel, Rob Casey, Casey Organizations: AFP, Getty, Washington, Rapidan Energy Group, Israeli, Military, Israel, Eurasia Group, National Security Council, Wall Street, Signum Global Advisors, Anadolu, International Atomic Energy Agency, Brent Locations: Palestine Square, Tehran, Israel, Iran, U.S, Damascus, Gulf of Oman, Hormuz, Anadolu
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDemand and geopolitics will be crude oil's next driver, says Rapidan's Bob McNallyBob McNally, Rapidan Energy Group Founder & President, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the state of the energy markets as Middle East conflicts push oil higher.
Persons: Bob McNally Bob McNally Organizations: Rapidan Energy
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil prices could possibly be on the path to $100 per barrel, analyst saysClayton Allen of Rapidan Energy Group discusses geopolitical risk in the Middle East and its potential impact on oil prices.
Persons: Clayton Allen Organizations: Rapidan Energy
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'40% probability' that Israel-Iran tensions will disrupt shipping and oil trade at Strait of HormuzClay Seigle of Rapidan Energy Group says tensions between Israel and Iran have entered a "new chapter" as the "shadow war" between the two is now over.
Organizations: Rapidan Energy Locations: Israel, Iran, Strait, Hormuz Clay
We're constructive on crude oil, says energy consulting firm
  + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're constructive on crude oil, says energy consulting firmClay Seigle of Rapidan Energy Group says it expects Brent crude oil prices to be in the "90s" later this year.
Persons: Clay Seigle Organizations: Rapidan Energy Group, Brent
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe oil markets are 'waking up' to the prospect of supply disruptions: AnalystClay Seigle of Rapidan Energy Group says he is "surprised that it has taken this long" for the oil markets to begin pricing in more of a geopolitical risk premium as the threat of Iranian direct involvement in the Middle East conflict rises and Ukraine demonstrating increased ability to target Russian refineries.
Persons: Clay Organizations: Rapidan Energy Group Locations: Ukraine
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIEA's forecast for oil demand to peak this decade is wrong: AnalystBob McNally of Rapidan Energy Group explains why he doesn't expect global oil demand to peak in the next decade.
Persons: Bob McNally Organizations: Bob McNally of Rapidan Energy Group
Shipping can be rerouted away from the Red Sea, but crude would be essentially trapped if the strait is shut down, Struyven said. A prolonged disruption in the strait could eventually double oil prices, he said. McNally thinks the market should be factoring in a $12 geopolitical risk premium in oil prices right now. Wirth told CNBC's Sullivan that Chevron is currently working with the U.S. Navy to protect its vessels transiting the Red Sea. "Hopefully, if it doesn't escalate further, we'll be OK — even if there has to be a wholesale diversion of shipments around the Red Sea," Granholm said.
Persons: you've, Daan Struyven, Goldman Sachs, CNBC's Brian Sullivan, Struyven, Bob McNally, McNally, Bush, Antony Blinken, Daniel Yergin, Yergin, Michael Wirth, Tehran's, Wirth, CNBC's Sullivan, Joe Biden's, Jennifer Granholm, Granholm, Israel, Benny Gantz, Gantz, Biden's, Bob Yawger, Yawger, Brent Organizations: Shipping, Rapidan Energy Group, National Security Council, P Global, Brent, Chevron, U.S . Navy, NBC News . Energy, Mizuho, Energy Information Agency, Gulf Locations: Red, Iran, Hormuz, Persian, Israel, Strait, Yemen, Danish, U.S, Lebanon, Beirut, Lebanese, Islamic Republic, The U.S, Europe, South Africa, United States, East
REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsHOUSTON, Nov 15 (Reuters) - A U.S. court has removed an emissions permit for Sempra's (SRE.N) Port Arthur LNG export terminal in Texas, but the company said construction of the facility will continue for now. The approximately 13.5 million-metric-tons-per-annum (mtpa) Port Arthur plant has approval to export LNG to both Free Trade Agreement (FTA) and non-FTA countries, including Europe, and is part of the U.S. LNG expansion to meet growing global demand for the superchilled gas. The decision sends the Port Arthur LNG permit application back to the TCEQ for new evaluation. Investment firm KKR (KKR.N) owns a 20% stake in Sempra Infrastructure while Sempra Energy owns 70% and Abu Dhabi Investment Authority owns 10%. John Beard, executive director of the Port Arthur Community Action Network, which brought the lawsuit challenging TCEQ, said of the ruling: “We’ve won by standing up for Port Arthur communities of color to breathe free from toxic pollution.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Port Arthur, Sempra, John Beard, “ We’ve, , Biden, Alex Munton, Munton, Curtis Williams, Deepa Babington, Stephen Coates Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Port Arthur, Free, U.S, U.S ., Appeals, Fifth Circuit, Texas Commission, Environmental, Rio, Rio Grande LNG, Port, Sempra Infrastructure, ConocoPhillips, Investment, KKR, Sempra Energy, Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, Port Arthur Community Action Network, Global Gas & LNG Research, Rapidan Energy, Thomson Locations: Port, Texas, Europe, Rio Grande, Port Arthur, Abu Dhabi, Houston
In an aerial view, the Valero Houston refinery seen on August 28, 2023 in Houston, Texas. Oil prices dipped even after Israel sent ground forces into the Gaza Strip, raising tensions in the Middle East, as investors closely monitor the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting later this week. He said the ground operations were "limited so far" and noted other macroeconomic concerns. Oil prices surged late Friday, with Brent jumping above $90 per barrel as Israel said its troops were ‘increasing the ground operation’ in Gaza as it seeks to eradicate the militant group Hamas. "While a major oil supply disruption is not our base case, the oil market last week became a little too complacent about the likelihood of a major Israeli ground incursion in Gaza, and the risk of a wider regional war," McNally continued.
Persons: Israel, Brent, Bob McNally, Benjamin Netanyahu, McNally Organizations: . Federal, U.S . West Texas, Rapidan Energy Group, CNBC, Hamas Locations: Valero Houston, Houston , Texas, Gaza, ., U.S, Israel
Oil prices jumped 4% on Monday before shrugging off those gains in subsequent sessions, and gold prices have inched higher by a little over 1% since the attack. "Global markets have yet to fully price the inflation risks from developments — from higher oil prices and more defense spending," Savage cautioned. That would cause the premium [of oil prices] to go higher," said Rapidan Energy Group's President Bob McNally. This could spike oil prices well north of $150 per barrel," Alpine Macro said in a note following the incursion. One analyst is of the view that even if the conflict prolongs, its implications on global markets is still largely contained.
Persons: Sameh, BNY Mellon, shrugging, BNY, Bob Savage, Savage, Amir Cohen, Bob McNally, McNally, Antony Blinken, Marko Papic, Mahmud Hams Organizations: Nurphoto, Hamas, U.S ., Swiss, BNY, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Reuters, Energy, United Nations, U.S, ., NBC News, Palestinian Health Ministry, Clocktower Group, CNBC, Brigades, Afp, Getty Locations: Gaza City, Israel, Palestinian, Gaza, Ukraine, Stockholm, U.S, Ashkelon, Iran, United States, Persian, Mahmud
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIsrael-Hamas conflict's impact on oil: Watch Iran, says energy consultancyBob McNally, founder and president of Rapidan Energy Group, says the impact of the Israel-Hamas conflict on the oil market will be "fairly minor" if it doesn't expand to Iran.
Persons: Bob McNally Organizations: Israel, Rapidan Energy Group Locations: Iran, Israel
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with RBC's Helima Croft and Rapidan Energy's Bob McNallyHelima Croft, RBC Capital Markets global head of commodity strategy, and Bob McNally, Rapidan Energy Group founder and president, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the impact warfare in Gaza has on energy markets, normalization talks with Saudi Arabia strained over the Israel-Hamas conflict, and the potential for Biden to tighten Iranian oil supplies entering the United States.
Persons: RBC's Helima Croft, Rapidan, Bob McNally Helima Croft, Bob McNally, Biden Organizations: RBC Capital Markets, Rapidan Energy Group Locations: Gaza, Saudi Arabia, Israel, United States
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market's been 'a little too complacent' about Saudi oil cuts, says energy consulting firmBob McNally, founder and president of Rapidan Energy Group, says "the market is probably a little too complacent about the likelihood that these cuts — all of them — stay in place through the end of the year — especially that 1 million barrel per day [cut]."
Persons: Bob McNally Organizations: Rapidan Energy Group
And yet, on his watch, US oil production is poised to shatter all-time records set during the Trump administration. If anything, the outlook for US oil production has brightened recently – in large part because oil prices have rebounded from recession fears and drillers have become more efficient. Climate vs. inflationWhen and if the oil production record falls, don’t expect any fireworks from the White House. Last week, Saudi Arabia vowed to extend its oil production cut for at least another month. It’s also true that domestic oil production -— unlike prices -— has been slow to recover from the Covid-19 crash.
Persons: Joe Biden, Trump, It’s, Biden, , Hunter Kornfeind, it’s, Mike Pence, Joe Biden’s, Pence, Barack Obama, , Matt Smith, ” Biden, That’s, Kornfeind Organizations: New York CNN Business, Rapidan Energy, drillers, US Energy Information Administration, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, EIA, Exxon, Rapidan Energy Group, American Petroleum Institute, Biden, CNN, Locations: Saudi Arabia, Texas, Americas, Russia
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBefore the end of the year crude oil could hit 'if not exceed' $100/barrel: Rapidan's Bob McNallyMatt Maley, Miller Tabak chief market strategist, Bob McNally, Rapidan Energy Group president, joins 'Last Call' to talk the Biden administrations policies that have helped the fossil fuel industry grow.
Persons: Bob McNally Matt Maley, Miller, Bob McNally Organizations: Rapidan Energy Group, Biden
Fourth of July gas prices took an almost unprecedented plunge on an annual basis. “I forecast oil prices headed higher this decade and, if that’s right, then SPR refilling will largely stop. Although important symbolically, those 12.3 million barrels represents just a drop in the bucket. The reserve held 346.8 million barrels of oil as of the week ending July 7 according to federal data. Beyond the efforts to buy oil, the Energy Department won approval from lawmakers to cancel Congressionally-mandated sales of 140 million barrels of oil through fiscal 2027.
Persons: Joe Biden, Jennifer Granholm, Biden, ” Granholm, Granholm, it’s “, I’m, , Bob McNally, George W, Bush, , McNally, We’re, Granholm ‘ Organizations: New York CNN Business —, CNN, Energy, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Energy Department, AAA, Congressionally, Rapidan Energy Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Saudi, Saudi Arabia
HOUSTON, July 10 (Reuters) - A coming wave of North American liquefied natural gas (LNG) export projects faces staffing challenges that are prompting some of the biggest developers to expand training and coordinate projects to keep construction workers. WORKERS NEEDEDAt present Bechtel has more than 3,000 professionals working on its LNG projects. Two other projects - Golden Pass LNG and Plaquemines LNG - have added workers and are moving to 24-hour work schedules. Cheniere and Bechtel are training workers using virtual simulations or via partnerships with local schools. Venture Global LNG stitched together 18 liquefaction units in its highly modular Calcasieu Pass LNG plant, allowing it to open the facility in what it said was record time.
Persons: Paul Marsden, Marsden, Alex Munton, Bechtel, Corey Grindal, Grindal, Cheniere, Jason Klein, Klein, Paul Varello, Curtis Williams, Nia Williams, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Bechtel Corp's Energy, Labor, Rapidan Energy, Bechtel, Cheniere Energy, Corpus, Plaquemines, Canada, Reuters, Commonwealth LNG, Venture, Columbia, Thomson Locations: U.S, Port Arthur, Christi, Kitimat, British Columbia, China, Calcasieu, Houston
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil market is in 'believe it when I see it mode,' Bob McNally saysThe oil market is in a “believe it when I see it mode,” Bob McNally of Rapidan Energy Group tells CNBC’s Dan Murphy at OPEC’s two-day symposium in Vienna.
Persons: Bob McNally, CNBC’s Dan Murphy Organizations: Email, Bob McNally of Rapidan Energy Locations: OPEC’s, Vienna
Oil prices are, incredibly, lower today than they were before the short-lived uprising in Russia — one of the world’s most important players in the oil market. But some oil market veterans wonder if the pendulum has now swung too far in the other direction. An actual disruption to Russia’s oil flows would be a game-changer for the oil market, and perhaps the world economy. That country’s civil war shut down oil export terminals — and even though Libya’s output is much smaller than that of Russia, oil prices shot higher. For now, the oil market is betting there won’t be a repeat of the Libya unrest in Russia.
Persons: Wagner, Russia won’t, Vladimir Putin’s, Jerome Powell, Powell, Putin, ” Helima Croft, , Croft, Yevgeny Prigozhin, Bob McNally, George W, Bush, ” McNally, Prigozhin, , ” Croft, Obama Organizations: New York CNN Business, CIA, RBC Capital Markets, CNN, Rapidan Energy Group, RBC, Strategic Petroleum Reserve Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, China, Libya
Three OPEC+ sources said cuts were being discussed among options for Sunday, when OPEC+ ministers gather at 2 p.m. in Vienna (1200 GMT). The sources said cuts could amount to 1 million bpd on top of existing cuts of 2 million bpd and voluntary cuts of 1.6 million bpd that was announced in a surprise move in April. Earlier, two OPEC+ sources said they did not expect the group to agree further cuts. "We will never hesitate to take any decision to achieve more balance and stability (on) the global oil market," Iraq's Oil Minister Hayan Abdel-Ghani said on arriving in Vienna. The International Energy Agency expects global oil demand to rise further in the second half of 2023, potentially boosting oil prices.
Persons: JP Morgan, Hayan Abdel, Ghani, Prince Abdulaziz, Alexander Novak, Ahmad Ghaddar, Alex Lawler, Maha El Dahan, Julia Payne, Dmitry Zhdannikov, Kirsten Donovan, Barbara Lewis, Marguerita Choy Organizations: OPEC, Reuters, Organization of, Petroleum, Brent, Saudi Arabia's Energy, International Energy Agency, JP, Rapidan Energy Group, Thomson Locations: Saudi, VIENNA, Russia, OPEC, Vienna, Russian
WASHINGTON, May 10 (Reuters) - The House Judiciary Committee was set to consider a bill on Wednesday to pressure the OPEC oil production group to stop making output cuts that can result in higher fuel prices for U.S. drivers. The committee was expected to vote on the so-called No Oil Producing and Exporting Cartels, or NOPEC, bill, which would change U.S. antitrust law to revoke the sovereign immunity that has protected OPEC+ members and their national oil companies from lawsuits over price collusion. Analysts were skeptical that the NOPEC bill would pass Congress while oil prices were relatively low as the market fears a recession. "House Judiciary Committee passage of NOPEC is more a biennial tradition than a sign of momentum," Rapidan Energy Group said in a note to clients. The committee has passed the bill in 2018, 2019 and 2021, Rapidan said.
OPEC+ oil producers announced output cuts of around 1.16 million barrels a day Sunday, sending oil prices higher . The surprise cut in production could boost oil prices to $100 a barrel and beyond , analysts said. It comes after oil prices dipped last month, falling to $70 per barrel — the lowest in 15 months. Kathleen Flynn | ReutersOPEC+ oil producers announced output cuts of around 1.16 million barrels a day Sunday, sending oil prices higher. The surprise cut in production could boost oil prices to $100 a barrel and beyond, analysts said.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe OPEC+ call to cut production is a risk management decision, says Rapidan's Bob McNallyHelima Croft, RBC Capital markets head of global commodity strategy, and Bob Mcnally, Rapidan Energy Group founder and president, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the OPEC+ decision to cut production, U.S. production of crude oil being catalysed by the OPEC+ cuts.
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